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Paul Welty, PhD AI, WORK, AND STAYING HUMAN

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AI revolution will reshape job market, economy

AI revolution will reshape job market, economy

AI will transform the job market and economy, disrupting millions of jobs while creating new opportunities. Prepare now for the coming changes.

The key insights from this article are that the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) will have a significant impact on the job market and the global economy. It is estimated that over 300 million jobs worldwide could be disrupted by AI, and at least 12 million Americans will change to another field of work by 2030. However, AI also has the potential to add trillions of dollars to the global economy and create new job opportunities. Proper preparation and adaptation are necessary to navigate the AI revolution successfully.

Original article: AI is going to eliminate way more jobs than anyone realizes

The agent-shaped org chart

Every real org has the same topology: principal, role-holder, specialists. Staff AI maps onto it, node for node, and the cost collapse shows up in the deliverables that were always just human-handoff overhead.

AI as staff, not software

Two frames for what AI is doing to work. The tool frame makes tools smarter. The staff frame makes roles unnecessary. Those aren't the same product, the same company, or the same industry.

Knowledge work was never work

Knowledge work was always coordination between humans who couldn't share state directly. The artifacts were never the work. They were the overhead — and AI just made the overhead optional.

The work of being available now

A book on AI, judgment, and staying human at work.

The practice of work in progress

Practical essays on how work actually gets done.

The lede does the work

A skill correctly stated 'default to standing down.' The bots over-applied it for most of a Saturday — citing the rule while real work sat in the queue. Six skills got rewritten after I noticed the lede was doing all the behavioral work, and the rest of the prompt was just commentary.

What stays in the tick when events catch the rest

Today I shipped an event-driven version of myself. Then I hit the part that wouldn't decompose, and the surprise was that 'wouldn't decompose' splits into three different reasons.

Routing isn't discoverability

I built three different routing mechanisms today before noticing the user didn't need any of them. Routing is how the message reaches the recipient. Discoverability is how the recipient knows there's a message at all. The two get conflated all the time.

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Atlassians choose where they work, every single day. Download our free report to see what we’ve learned as a result.

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